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Wolfgang Lutz

Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/OeAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria • Personal webpage • lutz(at)iiasa.ac.at
Fertility and reproduction

Evaluating pronatalist policies with TFR brings misleading conclusions: examples from Hungary

March 4, 2024March 4, 2024 Wolfgang Lutz, Tomás Sobotka and Kryštof Zeman

In the prominent political debates about population decline and ageing, short-term changes in the period total fertility rate (TFR) are the main point of reference, even though they can be … Read more

Fertility and reproduction

Cognition-driven demographic transition

June 6, 2022June 6, 2022 Wolfgang Lutz
Fertility, Mortality

The concept of demographic transition is a century old, but there is still no consensus about its drivers. Wolfgang Lutz highlights a recent reassessment of the theory, which adds cognition … Read more

Education, work, economy (socio-economic differences)

The demographic dividend is driven by education, not changes in age structure

March 14, 2021November 18, 2019 Wolfgang Lutz, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma and Nicholas Gailey
Africa, Asia, Education, Work, world

Wolfgang Lutz, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, and Nicholas Gailey show that the “demographic dividend” does not result from the opening of “a window of opportunity” caused by a declining youth dependency … Read more

Fertility and reproduction

Education disruptions in the 1980s contributed to the stalled fertility decline in Africa around 2000

March 10, 2021April 8, 2019 Endale Kebede, Anne Goujon, Wolfgang Lutz and Nicholas Gailey
Africa, Children, Education

Masked by time, educational disruptions of the 1980s help explain why steady fertility declines came to a surprising halt in the 2000s in ten sub-Saharan African countries. The findings, according … Read more

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