Wolfgang LutzWittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/OeAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria • Personal webpage • lutz(at)iiasa.ac.at
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/OeAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria • Personal webpage • lutz(at)iiasa.ac.at
The demographic dividend is driven by education, not changes in age structure
Le dividende démographique est impulsé par l’éducation et non par l’évolution de la structure par âge
Wolfgang Lutz, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Nicholas Gailey

Wolfgang Lutz, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, and Nicholas Gailey show that the “demographic dividend” does not result from the opening of “a window of opportunity” caused by a declining youth dependency ratio;
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Education disruptions in the 1980s contributed to the stalled fertility decline in Africa around 2000
Les perturbations du système éducatif dans les années 1980 ont contribué à freiner la baisse de la fécondité en Afrique vers 2000
Endale Kebede, Anne Goujon, Wolfgang Lutz, Nicholas Gailey

Masked by time, educational disruptions of the 1980s help explain why steady fertility declines came to a surprising halt in the 2000s in ten sub-Saharan African countries.
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